MOVING TO FRONT FROM FEBRUARY 12 OF THIS YEAR, UPDATED
It was obvious to me in 2016 that Hillary Clinton was an awful candidate--an opportunistic fake (like her philandering husband), whose only real qualification was her name and resulting institutional connections--and yet it seemed to me inconceivable that Trump could beat her, given how awful the monster-child was (and is). Duly chastened by that bitter experience, I confess I'm now getting deja vu that we're walking into another, probably worse disaster. Biden was always a congenial empty vessel, filled with whatever the Democratic consensus du jour was, but he hasn't suffered from decades of vaguely misogynistic demonization as Clinton did. His problem is different, one exacerbated by the special prosecutor's report about his walking off with classified materials, namely, his age. It won't do to point out that Trump is not only cognitively impaired, but psychologically disturbed, even though that is obviously true. Biden looks his age (he's 81), while Trump does not (he's 77); and Biden's verbal and cognitive mistakes do seem to be getting worse. With most of the electorate, appearances are everything. The polls probably are not lying about this problem eitehr. Sure Biden can run on the slogan, "Not a pathological narcissist and fascist like the other guy," but will enough voters notice or care?
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