Many years ago, my father quipped that, "Farmers hope for rain, journalists hope for floods," because disaster is more newsworthy. So too with some of the COVID reporting, as in this piece from Phoenix. It's headline reports that cases have "tripled" in a matter of days ("flood"!), but if you read the article, you see the positivity rate on tests is only a bit over 1% (very low, especially compared to the nearly 7% rate in Arizona)) and you also find this:
Officials said there were 452 positive cases out of the approximately 74,500-person student body in addition to 28 positive cases out of the 12,400 faculty and staff members.
More than half of the positive cases reside off-campus within the Phoenix area. Officials said 205 of the approximately 9,600 students living on the Tempe campus were in isolation on Friday.
Given the prevalence of COVID in Arizona this summer, these are remarkably good statistics: a bit more than half of one percent of students have tested positive (most of whom live off campus), and the rate is even lower for faculty and staff. Of course, if growth is exponential then maybe this will turn into a disaster. But so far these numbers are quite moderate, although you wouldn't know it from the emphasis in the headline.
(Thanks to Robert McGarvey for the pointer.)
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