MOVING TO FRONT FROM MARCH 26--UPDATED
A new study out of the University of Washington, that makes both U.S. forecasts and state-by-state forecasts. The charts starting around page 20 digest the key information. This confirms something we've noted previously, namely, that there is some wide variation by state in terms of capacity to deal adequately with a surge in patients. These estimates, by the way, assume wide use of social distancing, closures, etc. Comments welcome from those who have time to digest more of the details.
UPDATE: See these useful comments on this study from a biologist.
